Q4 2025 Northland Power Inc Earnings Call

February 26, 2026

Speaker #1: Welcome to the Northland Power conference call to discuss the fourth quarter and year end 2025 results . As a reminder , this conference is being recorded on Thursday , February 26th , 2026 at 10 a.m.

Operator: Welcome to the Northland Power Conference Call to discuss the Q4 and year-end 2025 results. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded on Thursday, 26 February 2026, at 10:00 AM Eastern. Present for this call are Christine Healy, President and CEO, Jeff Hart, Chief Financial Officer, and Adam Beaumont, Senior Vice President of Capital Markets. Before we begin, Northland's management has asked me to remind listeners that all figures presented during today's call are in Canadian dollars, and to caution that certain information presented and responses to questions may contain forward-looking statements that include assumptions and are subject to various risks. Actual results may differ materially from management's expected or forecasted results. Please read the forward-looking statements section in yesterday's news release announcing Northland Power's results and be guided by its contents when making investment decisions or recommendations. The release is available at www.northlandpower.com.

Speaker #1: eastern . Present for this call are Christine Healy president and CEO Jeff Hart , Chief Financial Officer , and Adam Beaumont Senior Vice president of Capital markets Before we begin , Northlands Management has asked me to remind listeners that all figures presented during today's call are in Canadian dollars and to caution that certain information presented and responses to questions may contain forward looking statements that include assumptions and are subject to various risks .

Speaker #1: Actual results may differ materially from management's expected or forecasted results Please read the forward looking statements section in yesterday's news release announcing Northland Power results and be guided by its contents when making investment decisions or recommendations .

Speaker #1: The release is available at Northland Power . I will now turn the call over to Miss Christine Healy . Please go ahead .

Operator: I will now turn the call over to Ms. Christine Healy. Please go ahead.

Speaker #2: Good morning everyone . Thank you for joining us I'll begin with an overview of our strategic priorities and an update on our two large construction projects .

Christine Healy: Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. I'll begin with an overview of our strategic priorities and an update on our two large construction projects. Jeff will provide a review of our Q4 and full year financial results, as well as our 2026 guidance. Following our prepared remarks, we will open the line for your questions. In 2025, we made progress across our operational, financial, and organizational priorities. We expanded and reinforced our leadership team with the addition of new executive members. We introduced a new global strategy outlining our growth priorities, a five-year funding plan, and how we will create long-term value for shareholders. We advanced our construction projects, completing key milestones at our two offshore wind projects, Hai Long in Taiwan and Baltic Power in Poland.

Speaker #2: Jeff will then provide a review of our fourth quarter and full year financial results , as well as our 2026 guidance . Following our prepared remarks , we will open the line for your questions In 2025 , we made progress across our operational , financial and organizational priorities .

Speaker #2: We expanded and reinforced our leadership team with the addition of new executive members. We introduced a new global strategy outlining our growth priorities.

Speaker #2: A five year funding plan , and how we will create long term value for shareholders . We advanced our construction projects , completing key milestones at our two offshore wind projects .

Speaker #2: High , long in Taiwan and Baltic Power in Poland . And following the successful completion of Oneida last year , we are advancing our second battery storage project in Alberta , Canada , called Jurassic Bess .

Christine Healy: Following the successful completion of Oneida last year, we are advancing our second battery storage project in Alberta, Canada, called Jurassic BESS. Executing these projects is our primary focus through 2026, and together they will add 2.2 GW of capacity by 2027. We delivered on our financial commitments, achieving our adjusted EBITDA guidance and outperforming on free cash flow per share. Our performance in the Q4 was supported by 96% operating availability and record-high generation from our German offshore wind assets. Before we move into the strategy, I want to take a moment and emphasize that our performance is underpinned by our commitment to our people. As I've talked about before, health and safety are core values for Northland. In 2025, we reinforced this commitment with the launch of our twelve golden safety rules.

Speaker #2: Executing these projects is our primary focus through 2026 , and together they will add 2.2GW of capacity by 2027 . And we delivered on our financial commitments , achieving our adjusted EBITDA guidance and outperforming on free cash flow per share .

Speaker #2: Our performance in the fourth quarter was supported by 96% operating availability and record-high generation from our German offshore wind assets. Before we move into the strategy, I want to take a moment and emphasize that our performance is underpinned by our commitment to our people.

Speaker #2: As I've talked about before, health and safety are core values for Northland. In 2025, we reinforced this commitment with the launch of our 12 Golden Safety Rules.

Speaker #2: These rules are non-negotiable and ensure that our standards are consistently understood , respected and applied across all work environments . A safe workplace is the prerequisite for the work we do Building on that foundation , we are advancing a strategy focused on disciplined growth and long term value creation .

Christine Healy: These rules are non-negotiable and ensure that our standards are consistently understood, respected, and applied across all work environments. A safe workplace is the prerequisite for the work we do. Building on that foundation, we are advancing a strategy focused on disciplined growth and long-term value creation. We're at an inflection point in electricity markets. After decades of flat electricity demand, we're entering a period of rising demand that some call a power super cycle. It's driven by electrification, industrial growth, population growth, urbanization, and a rise in AI demand. As power generators, our strategy plans to capture this momentum and double our gross operating capacity to 7GW by 2030. This is not just about scale, it's about focus and finding the right high-quality projects that add real value to our business.

Speaker #2: We're at an inflection point in electricity markets after decades of flat electricity demand . We're entering a period of rising demand that some call a power supercycle .

Speaker #2: It's driven by electrification , industrial growth , population growth , urbanization and a rise in AI demand as power generators . Our strategy plans to capture this momentum and double our gross operating capacity to seven gigawatts by 2030 .

Speaker #2: This is not just about scale . It's about focus and finding the right high quality projects that add real value to our business Our focus on achieving specific free cash flow targets by 2030 is more than a goal .

Christine Healy: Our focus on achieving specific free cash flow targets by 2030 is more than a goal. It is the lens through which we evaluate every capital allocation decision we make. To strengthen our 2030 goals, we're focused on three pillars: deliver, strengthen, and grow. The deliver pillar of our strategy is focused on operational performance and successfully bringing 2.2 GW of projects under construction into operation. Our track record of executing and delivering large-scale projects is one of the things that sets Northland apart. The strengthen pillar is about building a foundation for scale, including our target of 50 million in annual cost savings by 2028.

Speaker #2: It is the lens through which we evaluate every capital allocation decision we make to strengthen our 2030 goals . We're focused on three pillars deliver , strengthen and grow .

Speaker #2: The deliver pillar of our strategy is focused on operational performance and successfully bringing 2.2GW of projects under construction into operation Our track record of executing and delivering large scale projects is one of the things that sets Northland apart .

Speaker #2: The strength in pillar is about building a foundation for scale , including our target of 50 million in annual cost savings by 2028 .

Speaker #2: To support this , we have already transitioned to a regionally focused operating model split into the Americas and international business units designed to build scalable platforms in our core markets and capture operational leverage by clustering assets in those core markets .

Christine Healy: To support this, we have already transitioned to a regionally focused operating model, split into the Americas and international business units, designed to build scalable platforms in our core markets and capture operational leverage by clustering assets in those core markets. This structure streamlines how we operate, enhances local accountability, and maintains global standards. At the same time, we have centralized all of our development activities into one global organization. This ensures that every project, regardless of technology or geography, competes for capital on a consistent basis, so only the most value accretive projects move forward. Finally, under the grow pillar, we continue to high-grade our pipeline, advancing new capacity to supplement our current construction. An example of this is the two recently acquired late-stage battery storage projects in Poland. This acquisition, alongside Baltic Power, demonstrates our strategy of clustering high-value assets in a core European market.

Speaker #2: This structure streamlines how we operate . Enhanced enhances local accountability , and maintains global standards At the same time , we have centralized all of our development activities into one global organization .

Speaker #2: This ensures that every project , regardless of technology or geography , competes for capital on a consistent basis . So only the most value accretive projects move forward Finally , under the Grow pillar , we continue to high grade our pipeline , advancing new capacity to supplement our current construction .

Speaker #2: An example of this is the two recently acquired late stage battery storage projects in Poland . This acquisition , alongside Baltic Power , demonstrates our strategy of clustering high value assets in a core European market Our approach is technology agnostic , focusing on our core markets where fundamentals are strongest .

Christine Healy: Our approach is technology agnostic, focusing on our core markets where fundamentals are strongest. Our plans for Europe are driven by an ongoing and increasing need for energy security. I recently attended the North Sea Summit, which took place in January, where nine European governments reaffirmed their commitment to expand offshore wind in the North Sea through a coordinated regional approach, including up to 100 GW of projects by 2050, with an interim target of 20 GW for the 2030s. This North Sea Summit outturn is a consistent theme we see across Europe, a commitment to build out of renewables for decades to come, offshore, onshore, and battery storage. For developers like Northland, this provides important long-term demand visibility. Greater policy alignment and infrastructure coordination should help reduce development friction, improve permitting timelines, support enhancements to the supply chain, and ultimately enhance capital efficiency.

Speaker #2: Our plans for Europe are driven by an ongoing and increasing need for energy security . I recently attended the North Sea summit , which took place in January and where nine European governments reaffirmed their commitment to expand offshore wind in the North Sea through a coordinated regional approach , including up to 100GW of projects by 2050 , with an interim target of 20GW for the 2030s .

Speaker #2: This North Sea summit outturn is a consistent theme we see across Europe , a commitment to build out of renewables for decades to come offshore , onshore and battery storage for developers like Northland , this provides important long term demand visibility , greater policy alignment and infrastructure coordination should help reduce development friction , improve permitting timelines , support enhancements to the supply chain and ultimately enhance capital efficiency Europe continues to show conviction that offshore wind will play a critical role in meeting the region's energy demand , and advancing the clean energy transition Strengthening energy security .

Christine Healy: Europe continues to show conviction that offshore wind will play a critical role in meeting the region's energy demand and advancing the clean energy transition, strengthening energy security, improving affordability, and supporting industrial competitiveness. In Canada, electrification and industrial growth are accelerating the need for new supply. Canada continues to be a growth market for us. With every province forecasting power demand growth, we see opportunities in several of our technologies, including gas-fired generation and battery storage. To capitalize on this opportunity, our 5-year growth and funding plan has been set with the right foundation, supported by an investment-grade balance sheet. We've increased our project return thresholds to a minimum of 12%, demonstrating that we will invest only in the most value-accretive opportunities. We are focused on advancing the opportunities where we can apply our global expertise to local execution.

Speaker #2: Improving affordability and supporting industrial competitiveness . And in Canada , electrification and industrial growth are accelerating the need for new supply Canada continues to be a growth market for us , with every province forecasting power , demand growth .

Speaker #2: We see opportunities in several of our technologies , including gas fired generation and battery storage to capitalize on this opportunity . Our five year growth and funding plan has been set with the right foundation , supported by an investment grade balance sheet We've increased our project return thresholds to a minimum of 12% , demonstrating that we will invest only in the most value accretive opportunities .

Speaker #2: We are focused on advancing the opportunities where we can apply our global expertise to local execution I'll turn now to more specific details on construction progress at high , long .

Christine Healy: I'll turn now to more specific details on construction progress. At Hai Long, we've reached several major milestones, including the installation of all 73 foundations, all 4 export cables, and both offshore substations. To date, we have successfully installed 37 turbines. 20 of those turbines are now actively generating power. The project team has been working hard over the winter to optimize our schedule and have had a crew on standby to continue commissioning when weather permits. As we've discussed in previous calls, offshore Taiwan, we work with a weather window, so full in-water activities will resume in earnest later in April when that weather window reopens. The project is on track for commercial operation in 2027.

Speaker #2: We've reached several major milestones , including the installation of all 73 foundations . All for export cables , and both offshore substations To date , we have successfully installed 37 turbines , 20 of those turbines are now generating power .

Speaker #2: The project team has been working hard over the winter to optimize our schedule , and have had a crew on standby to continue commissioning when weather permits As we've discussed in previous calls , offshore Taiwan , we work with a weather window , so full in activities will resume in earnest later in April .

Speaker #2: that weather window reopens . The project is on track for commercial operation in 2027 . At the Baltic Power , offshore Wind project in Poland , we achieved two key milestones this quarter , with the completion of all Monopile foundations .

Christine Healy: At the Baltic Power Offshore Wind Project in Poland, we achieved 2 key milestones this quarter, with the completion of all monopile foundations, and the completion of grid interconnection works by the local utility. We also completed the installation of both offshore substations, 2 of 4 export cables, and 30 of the project's 76 wind turbines. The project is on track for commercial operation in the second half of 2026. We're also making strides in our battery storage portfolio. At Jurassic BESS in Alberta, foundations have been installed, and the battery packs have arrived in Canada. The project is on track for commercial operation in 2026. Looking ahead, our priorities are clear: deliver our construction projects, optimize the value of our operating portfolio, and advance and high-grade our development pipeline. The recent acquisition of 2 late-stage battery storage projects in Poland adds scale to our European platform.

Christine Healy: At the Baltic Power Offshore Wind Project in Poland, we achieved 2 key milestones this quarter, with the completion of all monopile foundations, and the completion of grid interconnection works by the local utility. We also completed the installation of both offshore substations, 2 of 4 export cables, and 30 of the project's 76 wind turbines. The project is on track for commercial operation in the H2 of 2026. We're also making strides in our battery storage portfolio. At Jurassic BESS in Alberta, foundations have been installed, and the battery packs have arrived in Canada. The project is on track for commercial operation in 2026. Looking ahead, our priorities are clear: deliver our construction projects, optimize the value of our operating portfolio, and advance and high-grade our development pipeline. The recent acquisition of 2 late-stage battery storage projects in Poland adds scale to our European platform.

Speaker #2: Foundations and the completion of grid interconnection works by the local utility. We also completed the installation of both offshore substations, two of four export cables, and 30 of the project's 76 wind turbines.

Speaker #2: The project is on track for commercial operation in the second half of 2026 . We're also making strides in our battery storage portfolio at Jurassic Basin , Alberta Foundations have been installed and the battery packs have arrived in Canada .

Speaker #2: The project is on track for commercial operation in 2026 . Looking ahead , our priorities are clear . Deliver our construction projects . Optimize the value of our operating portfolio and advance in high grade .

Speaker #2: Our development pipeline . The recent acquisition of two late stage battery storage projects in Poland adds scale to our European platform . We continue to advance both projects , having signed their battery supply agreements , and we're currently .

Christine Healy: We continue to advance both projects, having signed their battery supply agreements, we're currently finalizing other procurement activities ahead of financing and the start of construction expected later this year. Building on our expertise and experience from the Oneida project in Ontario, we continue to see opportunities to expand our battery storage portfolio, we are actively evaluating several projects. In November, we completed the required performance test for a 23 MW capacity upgrade at our Thorold natural gas-fired facility in Ontario, officially secured a 5-year contract extension through 2035. These are all examples which underscore the progress underway across Northland. Our disciplined approach to capital deployment, project execution, and excellence in operations delivers energy for our markets and value for our shareholders. I'll now turn it over to Jeff to walk us through the financial results.

Speaker #2: Finalizing other procurement activities ahead of financing and the start of construction, expected later this year. Building on our expertise and experience from the Oneida Project in Ontario, we continue to see opportunities to expand our battery storage portfolio, and we are actively evaluating several projects.

Speaker #2: In November , we completed the required performance tests for a 23 megawatt capacity upgrade at our Thorold Natural Gas fired facility in Ontario and officially secured a five year contract extension through 2035 .

Speaker #2: These are all examples which underscore the progress underway across Northland . Our disciplined approach to capital deployment , project execution and excellence in operations delivers energy for our markets and value for our shareholders .

Speaker #2: I'll now turn it over to Jeff to walk us through the results

Speaker #3: Thank you and good morning , everyone . As Christine noted , we achieved our 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance and exceeded free cash flow guidance Strong winds at our offshore assets in Q4 and lower curtailment from grid outages resulted in higher than budgeted production and a 21% overage from the same quarter of last year Our high operating availability of 96% allowed us to capture that benefit .

Jeff Hart: Thank you. Good morning, everyone. As Christine noted, we achieved our 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance and exceeded free cash flow guidance. Strong winds at our offshore assets in Q4 and lower curtailment from grid outages resulted in higher than budgeted production and a 21% overage from the same quarter of last year. Our high operating availability of 96% allowed us to capture that benefit. The quarter also benefited from contributions from the Oneida Energy Storage Project that commenced operations in May of last year, as well as increased market demand for dispatchable power at our natural gas facilities as a result of cold weather and third-party facility outages in Ontario. Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was CAD 390 million, a 25% increase compared to Q4 2024.

Speaker #3: The quarter also benefited from contributions from the Oneida Energy Storage Facility that commenced operations in May of last year , as well as increased market demand for dispatchable power at our natural gas facilities .

Speaker #3: As a result of cold weather and third party facility outages in Ontario , adjusted EBITDA in the quarter was 390 million , a 25% increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 .

Speaker #3: For this increase was primarily due to higher production from offshore wind contributions from Oneida and increased market demand at our natural gas facilities Net income for the quarter was 290 million , compared to 150,000,000 in 2020 .

Jeff Hart: This increase was primarily due to higher production from offshore wind, contributions from Oneida, and increased market demand at our natural gas facilities. Net income for the quarter was CAD 290 million, compared to CAD 150 million in 2024. Free cash flow per share for Q4 was CAD 0.46, compared with CAD 0.31 in 2024. Turning to the full year, adjusted EBITDA for the full year was CAD 1.25 billion, in line with 2024, as lower offshore wind resource in the first half of this year offset contributions from Oneida and strong performance at our Americas onshore wind assets. Free cash flow per share for the full year decreased to CAD 1.46 from CAD 1.53 in 2024.

Speaker #3: Four , and free cash flow per share for the fourth quarter was $0.46 , compared with $0.31 in 2020 . For turning to the full year adjusted EBITDA for the full year was 1.25 billion , in line with 2020 .

Speaker #3: Four . As lower offshore wind resource in the first half of this year , offset contributions from Oneida and strong performance at our Americas onshore wind assets .

Speaker #3: Free cash flow per full year decreased to $1.46 from $1.53 in 2020 . For . The year over year decrease was mainly due to higher scheduled debt repayments , lower offshore wind resource and the non-recurrence of certain one time items , partially offset by contributions from new assets and lower current taxes For the full year , Northland recorded a net loss of $108 million compared to net income of $371 million for the full year of 2020 .

Jeff Hart: The year-over-year decrease was mainly due to higher scheduled debt repayments, lower offshore wind resource, and the non-recurrence of certain one-time items, partially offset by contributions from new assets and lower current taxes. For the full year, Northland recorded a net loss of CAD 108 million, compared to net income of CAD 371 million for the full year of 2024. This reduction is primarily due to a non-cash impairment for Nordsee One, recorded in Q3 2025. We continue to advance our major construction projects. As at 31 December, Hai Long and Baltic Power have less than CAD 4 billion of capital expenditures remaining to be incurred. Overall, both construction projects are continuing on track for commercial operations, with overall costs aligned with original expectations.

Speaker #3: For this reduction is primarily due to a non-cash impairment for North Sea , one recorded in the third quarter of 2025 , and we continue to advance our major construction projects As at December 31st , high , long and Baltic Power have less than $4 billion of capital expenditures remaining to be incurred Overall , both construction projects are continuing on track for commercial operations , with overall costs aligned with the original expectations As reported last quarter , high , long turbine commissioning has been slower than expected , and it could impact Pre-completion revenues and equity injections in the amount of 150 to 200 million .

Jeff Hart: As reported last quarter, Hai Long turbine commissioning has been slower than expected, and it could impact pre-completion revenues and equity injections in the amount of CAD 150 to 200 million Northland share. The shortfall in pre-completion revenues outlined above can be funded by several sources, including liquidity, corporate liquidity. However, we and our project partners are actively looking at optimizations at the project level to provide funding, and we'll provide an update on this by mid-year. Turning to our 2026 financial guidance. We expect 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of CAD 1.45 to 1.65 billion, an increase of approximately 25% from the CAD 1.25 billion delivered in 2025.

Speaker #3: Northland share the shortfall in Pre-completion revenues outlined above can be funded by several sources , including liquidity , corporate liquidity . However , we and our project partners are actively looking at optimizations at the project level to provide funding provide an update on this by mid-year Turning to our 2026 financial guidance , we expect 2026 adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of 1.45 to 1.65 billion , an increase of approximately 25% from the 1.2 billion two 5 billion delivered in 2025 .

Speaker #3: The key drivers of this increase will be contributions from high , long and Baltic power , as well as full year contributions from Oneida and the commencement of operations at the Jurassic Bess project in Alberta .

Jeff Hart: The key drivers of this increase will be contributions from Hai Long and Baltic Power, as well as full-year contributions from Oneida and the commencement of operations at the Jurassic BESS project in Alberta. These increases will be partially offset by lower contributions from Nordsee One, following a scheduled step down in the feed-in tariff mechanism. We expect 2026 free cash flow to be in the range of CAD 1.05 to CAD 1.25 per share, compared to the CAD 1.46 per share in 2025. The year-over-year decrease is due to several one-time items totaling CAD 0.22, which benefited 2025, including a German tax refund, deferral of Spanish debt repayments, and other items.

Speaker #3: These increases will be partially offset by lower contributions from Nord Sea one falling as scheduled . Step down in the feed in tariff mechanism We expect 2026 free cash flow to be in the range of $1 5 to $1.25 per share , compared to $1.46 per share in 2025 .

Speaker #3: The year over year decrease is due to several one time items totaling $0.22 , which benefited 2025 , including a German tax refund , deferral of Spanish debt repayments and other items This decrease is also attributable to ongoing foreign exchange hedging costs , higher debt service for the natural gas assets , and the cessation of capitalized interest on our hybrid debt .

Jeff Hart: This decrease is also attributable to ongoing foreign exchange hedging costs, higher debt service for the natural gas assets, and the cessation of capitalized interest on our hybrid debt as we enter operations in Baltic Power. Partially offsetting this decrease is the additional contribution from Baltic Power, representing approximately $0.20 per share. For 2026, we assume development expenditures of approximately CAD 50 million. This will be focused on selective opportunities in our core markets of Europe and Canada. Now, turning to our balance sheet. With more than CAD 900 million of available liquidity and our investment-grade credit rating, we are well positioned to execute on a disciplined capital allocation plan. With that, I'll hand it back to Christine.

Speaker #3: As we enter operations in Baltic Power . Partially offsetting this decrease is the additional contribution from Baltic Power , representing approximately $0.20 per share for 2026 .

Speaker #3: We assumed development expenditures of approximately 50 million , and this will be focused on selective opportunities in markets of Europe and Canada . Now turning to our balance sheet .

Speaker #3: With more than 900 million of available liquidity and our investment grade credit rating , we are well positioned to execute on a disciplined capital allocation plan .

Speaker #3: With that, I'll hand it back to Christine.

Christine Healy: Thank you, Jeff. We are focused on delivering the strategy we set out in the fall and advancing the new projects that will add value and double our capacity by 2030, and we look forward to updating you on our progress. That concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, can you please open the line for questions?

Speaker #2: Thank you Jeff . We are focused on delivering the strategy we set out in the fall and advancing the new projects that will add value and double our capacity by 2030 .

Speaker #2: And we look forward to updating you on our progress . That concludes our prepared remarks . So , operator , can you please open the line for questions

Speaker #1: Thank you . To ask a question , please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced . To withdraw your question , please press star one one again .

Operator: Thank you. To ask a question, please press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Baltej Sidhu of National Bank Financial. Your line is open.

Speaker #1: Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster And our first question comes from Baltej Sidhu of National Bank of Canada . Your line is open .

Speaker #3: Thank you and good morning , everyone

Baltej Sidhu: Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Your 2026 guidance is comfortably above consensus. Just reflecting on last year's week, wind resource in the first half, acknowledging the incremental diversification from projects like Hai Long and Baltic. Could you shed any light on the downside protection that's embedded in your outlook and how you approach risk in your assumptions to the P50 production forecast?

Baltej Sidhu: Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Your 2026 guidance is comfortably above consensus. Just reflecting on last year's week, wind resource in the H1, acknowledging the incremental diversification from projects like Hai Long and Baltic. Could you shed any light on the downside protection that's embedded in your outlook and how you approach risk in your assumptions to the P50 production forecast?

Speaker #4: So your 2026 guidance is comfortably above consensus . And just reflecting on last year's week wind resource in the first half , acknowledging the incremental diversification from projects like Highland and Baltic .

Speaker #4: Could you shed light ? Could you shed any light on the downside protection that's embedded in your outlook , and how you approach risk and your assumptions to the P50 production forecast ?

Speaker #3: Yeah , so I can take that . And good morning . And then Christine can add on I think . Look , we've been consistent with with how we outlook on the wind resource .

Jeff Hart: Yeah. I can take that. Good morning. Christine can add on. I think, look, we've been consistent with how we outlook on the wind resource. It's consistent with long-term averages. We continue to forecast based on that, off of our operated, our current operated facilities. I think you can see this year is, you know, Q1 and Q4, as we've always talked about, are always the heavy wind periods. We did have lower wind in 2025 in the first half, and particularly kind of through Q1. We captured a good chunk of that back in Q4 with record pace. I think, look, where we look at this is the long-term average. The P50 is the right spot to be.

Jeff Hart: Yeah. I can take that. Good morning. Christine can add on. I think, look, we've been consistent with how we outlook on the wind resource. It's consistent with long-term averages. We continue to forecast based on that, off of our operated, our current operated facilities. I think you can see this year is, you know, Q1 and Q4, as we've always talked about, are always the heavy wind periods. We did have lower wind in 2025 in the H1, and particularly kind of through Q1. We captured a good chunk of that back in Q4 with record pace. I think, look, where we look at this is the long-term average. The P50 is the right spot to be.

Speaker #3: It's consistent with long term averages . And and so we continue to forecast based on that off of our operated our current operated facilities .

Speaker #3: And so I think you can see this year is is , you know , Q1 and Q4 , as we've always talked about , are always the heavy wind periods .

Speaker #3: And so we did have lower wind in 2025 . In the first half , and particularly kind of through Q1 . And we captured much a good chunk of that back in Q4 with with record pace .

Speaker #3: I think , look , I think where we look at this is the long term average and the P50 is is the right spot to be We'll have , you know , some variability and volatility in that .

Jeff Hart: We'll have, you know, some variability and volatility in that, but we continue to not deviate from that, and I think we're comfortable with where we sit on that. The other piece when you look at it on guidance, is obviously there's a big piece on execution on the construction projects and the EBITDA contribution between Hai Long and Baltic. You know, I think for us, as you can see and where we've been in, Hai Long, we did have the weather window here. As we talked about, I think at Investor Day in the quarter, we had a cup last quarter, only about two turbines running at the start of that weather window.

Speaker #3: But we continue to to not deviate from that . And I think we're comfortable with where we sit on that . And then the other piece , when you look at on guidance is obviously there's a big piece on execution on the construction projects and the EBITDA contribution between high long and Baltic .

Speaker #3: And , you know , I think for us as , as you can see and where we've been in high long , we did have the weather window here .

Speaker #3: And as we talked about , I think in Investor Day in the quarter , we had a cup last quarter only about two turbines running at the start of that weather window .

Speaker #3: We felt it wasn't prudent to assume that we could get out there , depending on weather . And we're currently in and around 20 , which I think is better than what we expected coming out of the weather window .

Jeff Hart: We felt it wasn't prudent to assume that we could get out there depending on weather, and we're currently in and around 20, which I think is better than what we expected coming out of the weather window. We're still managing, and you can see with the assumption around our equity injection or potential equity injection, we're evaluating things at the project level. I think we're being prudent on our cash resources to make sure we've got funding mechanisms for it. As far as Baltic Power goes, I think we've seen good execution. You know, I never say comfortable. The big thing I want to leave with you is execution on these construction projects, and that's the biggest thing that we've got to be on top of this year.

Speaker #3: But we're still we're still managing . And you can see with the assumption around our equity injection or potential equity injection , we're evaluating things at the project level .

Speaker #3: I think we're being prudent on our cash resources to make sure we've got funding mechanisms for it . And then as far as Baltic Power goes is I think we've seen good execution .

Speaker #3: And but we , you know , I never say comfortable . The big thing I want to leave with you is , is execution on these construction projects .

Speaker #3: And that's the biggest thing that we've got to be on top of this year . The wind will blow on the operating assets and we'll leave it at a P 50 .

Jeff Hart: The wind will blow on the operating assets, and we'll leave it at a P50.

Speaker #2: I guess I can add a bit more color to that. And thanks for your question, Baltazar. I think maybe not showing up so much in the numbers is the fact that this winter has actually been a very tough weather window at high, long, and getting offshore has been challenging.

Christine Healy: I guess I can add a bit more color to that. Thanks for your question, Baltej. I think maybe not showing up so much in the numbers is the fact that this winter has actually been a very tough weather window at Hai Long, getting offshore has been challenging. I think we were right to be conservative in our approach to that. The weather window should reopen in April. We're ready to go with that, we still have a lot to go in the project. I think it's wise to be prudent in how we approach what we expect to happen through the rest of the year. At Baltic Power, we've seen that there's actually been very good in water performance in the last few weeks.

Speaker #2: So I think we were right to be conservative in our approach to that . The weather window should reopen in April and we're ready to go with that .

Speaker #2: But then we still have a lot to go project . So I think it's wise to be prudent in how we approach what we expect to happen through the rest of the year .

Speaker #2: At Baltic Power , we've seen that there's actually been very good in weather , performance in the last in in water performance in the last few weeks .

Speaker #2: But and probably not everybody is staying up to date on weather trends in the Baltic Sea . But it's also been very , very cold , which does affect , you know , the operational tempo .

Christine Healy: Probably not everybody is staying up to date on weather trends in the Baltic Sea, but it's also been very, very cold, which does affect, you know, the operational tempo. I think we've been prudent in our approach this year to understand what could happen with the projects, and our guidance reflects that.

Speaker #2: So I think we've been prudent in our approach this year to understand what what could happen with the projects and our , our , our guidance reflects that .

Speaker #4: Thanks . That's great color . And just to just to leverage some of the elements that you both alluded to , you know , you have a bit more than half of the turbines you initially had expected to be energized at high , long .

Baltej Sidhu: Thanks. That's great color. Just to leverage some of the elements that you both alluded to, you know, you have a bit more than half of the turbines you initially had expected to be energized at Hai Long, and there's been a good amount of progress since the capital markets day, as you alluded to in your prepared remarks. Could you provide any details on how the recovery plan is progressing from here? What feedback or visibility are you receiving from Siemens regarding execution and full path to completion?

Speaker #4: And there's been a good amount of progress since since the Capital Markets Day , as you alluded to in your prepared remarks . Could you provide any details on how the recovery plan is progressing from here , and what feedback or visibility are you receiving from Siemens regarding execution and full path to completion

Speaker #2: So obviously , it's very much on our minds and we're extremely focused on it both at the project level and also here at Northland .

Christine Healy: Obviously, it's very much on our minds, and we're extremely focused on it, both at the project level and also here at Northland. I'm in regular contact with Siemens, we have a regular dialogue sort of zippered up at, you know, in both organizations. You know, Siemens is very committed to getting the work done as efficiently and effectively as possible. Now it's all about preparation because, you know, with the weather window currently closed, it actually gives us a bit of time to make sure that the planning is right, and that we've got the people and the expertise and the vessels to be able to launch when the weather window reopens. Very high focus on that.

Speaker #2: I'm in regular contact with Siemens , and so we have a regular dialog sort of zippered up at , you know , in both organizations .

Speaker #2: I think all of this is , you . Siemens is very committed to getting the work done and getting the work done as efficiently and effectively as possible .

Speaker #2: And so now it's all about preparation because we , you know , with the weather window currently closed , it actually gives us a bit of time to make sure that the planning is right and that we've got the people and the expertise and the vessels to be able to launch when the weather window reopens .

Speaker #2: So very high focus on that . And , you know , I would say the dialogue continues on a pretty regular basis with Siemens

Christine Healy: You know, I would say the dialogue continues on a pretty regular basis with Siemens.

Speaker #4: Excellent . And just switching gears to the Polish press as these projects are already contracted , what key milestones or execution risks need to be mitigated to to get these across the line to to reach FID ?

Baltej Sidhu: Excellent. Just switching gears to the Polish BESS. As these projects are already contracted, what key milestones or execution risks need to be mitigated to get these across the line to reach FID?

Speaker #2: So there's a few things going on right now . And that's , you know , we have local teams on the ground in Poland .

Christine Healy: There's a few things going on right now, Baltej, and that's, you know, we have local teams on the ground in Poland. While the projects are in, you know, we're really happy with the projects. We've as I mentioned in my comments, you know, we've secured the supply for the batteries. At the same time, we do have to make sure that we have all the local permits, that the local authorities are, that we have a good relationship there, that they know what we're doing, that there's clear understanding of that. Normal, I would say, regulatory process, which, you know, the team is working through. The intent would be that that would come forward internally for our final investment decision mid-year.

Speaker #2: So you know , while the projects are in , you know , we're really happy with the projects . We've , as I mentioned in my comments , you know , we've secured the the supply for the batteries at the same time , we do have to make sure that we have all the local permits that the local authorities are getting , that we have a good relationship there , that they know what we're doing , that there's clear understanding of that normal , I would say regulatory process , which , you know , the team is working through .

Speaker #2: So the intent would be that that would come forward internally for our our final investment decision mid-year . Yeah . And so then execute on that project and to sound like a newfoundlander get her done .

Jeff Hart: Yeah.

Christine Healy: Execute on that project and, to sound like a Newfoundlander, get her done.

Speaker #2: Yeah .

Jeff Hart: Yeah. Yeah. just to further, like, as Christine talked to, is, you know, we secured obviously battery supply. The big thing outside of the permitting and those pieces leading to mid-year is obviously working through the funding arrangement and project financing levers. We're, you know, working that, and I think we'll be progressed, and there's no roadblocks right now. We'd expect to be through that by kind of around mid-year, as Christine talked about. Those are the avenues that we're working.

Speaker #3: Yeah . So and just to for the like as Christine talked to is is you know we've we've secured obviously battery supply and the big thing outside of the permitting and those pieces leading to mid-year is obviously we're working through the funding arrangement and and project financing levers .

Speaker #3: And we're , you know , working that . And I think we'll be progressed . And there's no , no roads , you know , roadblocks right now .

Speaker #3: And we'd expect to be through that by kind of around mid-year . As Christine talked about . So those are the avenues that we're working

Speaker #4: Perfect . Thank you . I'll get back in the queue .

Baltej Sidhu: Perfect. Thank you. I'll get back in the queue. Thank you.

Speaker #3: Thank you

Speaker #1: Thank you And our next question comes from Mark Jarvi of Your line open

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Mark Jarvi of CIBC. Your line is open.

Speaker #5: Yeah . Thanks . Good morning everyone . Just wanted to follow up on a few things on on high long . One would be can you continue to commission energize turbines before the weather window opens .

Mark Jarvi: Yeah, thanks. Good morning, everyone. I just wanted to follow up on a few things on Hai Long.

Jeff Hart: Yeah.

Mark Jarvi: One would be, can you continue to commission energized turbines before the weather window opens? Like, can you get past the 20 that are currently selling into the grid now?

Speaker #5: Like can you get past the 20 that are currently selling into the grid now

Speaker #2: So basically , mark the way it works right now is we do the look ahead forecast . And if there's a window of a couple of days that we can get people out there safely to do the work , then we do it .

Christine Healy: Basically, Mark, the way it works right now is we do the look-ahead forecast, and if there's a window of a couple of days that we can get people out there safely to do the work, then we do it. There is a team on standby all the time, and we make the plan based on the weather forecast, and that's updated daily. Well, certainly the main update is weekly, but we also then adjust that daily. If there is an opportunity to get out there, then the teams get out there.

Speaker #2: So there is team on standby all the time . And we make the plan based on the weather forecast . And that's updated daily .

Speaker #2: Well, certainly the main update is weekly, but we also then adjust that daily. So if there is an opportunity to get out there, then the teams get out there.

Speaker #5: Got it . And then Jeff , you mentioned that getting to 20 at this point is a little bit ahead of expectations . Yet you still have the foregone pcrs at 150 to 200 million .

Mark Jarvi: Got it. Jeff, you mentioned that getting to 20 at this point is a little bit ahead of expectations, yet you still have the foregone PCRs at CAD 150 to 200 million.

Jeff Hart: Yeah.

Speaker #5: What has to happen for you to guys to hit the 150 to 200 now , or are you tracking below that at this point

Mark Jarvi: What has to happen for you to guys to hit the 150 to 200 now? Like, or are you tracking below that at this point?

Speaker #3: Well , there's a there's a number of factors bedded in here . So if you don't mind I'll kind of go through broadly the whole pre-completion revenue .

Jeff Hart: Well, I think there's a number of factors embedded in here. If you don't mind, I'll kind of go through broadly, the whole pre-completion revenue and then corresponding funding requirements. Because I think there's a bunch of factors in there. It's not only revenue generation, it's cash collection, and then how that times with our construction progress. You're absolutely right. Like, obviously, you know, when you ask the question on the weather window here for the next month or so, look, we don't really plan that we'll get a big amount of work as the weather will be what it'll be, but we did get 20 done or 18 done from the 2 to 20, and that number will vary a little bit as we work through the issues with the turbines. That was good performance.

Speaker #3: And then corresponding funding requirements I think is I think there's a bunch of factors in there . It's not only revenue generation , it's cash collection .

Speaker #3: And then how that ties in with our construction progress . So you're absolutely right . Like obviously , you know , and you ask the question on the weather window here for the next month or so .

Speaker #3: Look , we we don't really plan that . We'll get a big amount of work because the weather will be what it'll be .

Speaker #3: But we did get 20 done or 18 done from the 2 to 20 . And and that number will vary a little bit as we work through the issues with the turbines .

Speaker #3: So that that was good performance . I think where we look to long , longer term to hit where we need to be is , is we need materially on the next weather window in early October , effectively all the turbines spinning at that point in time .

Jeff Hart: I think where we look to longer term to hit where we need to be is we need materially on the next weather window in early October, effectively, all the turbines spinning at that point in time. That's where, as we've always talked about, Q1 and Q4 pretty much is the heavy weather window, that's where you see a significant amount of generation. I'll say generation, because that's obviously more of the back end of the year, there's cash collection time frame, let's call it 60 days or so, or whatever it is, that would put the cash collection more into the cash receipt more into the new year. We would have generated.

Speaker #3: And that's where , as we've always talked about , Q1 and Q4 pretty much is the heavy weather window . And so that's where you see a significant amount of generation .

Speaker #3: And I'll say generation , because that's obviously more of the back end of the year . And there's cash collection times frame , let's call it 60 days or so or whatever it is .

Speaker #3: That would put the cash collection more into the cash receipt , more into the new year . But we would have generated and the reason that's important is when we look at this is obviously when we come out of the weather , when you window on construction , we'll be heavy into execution here on the actual project itself .

Jeff Hart: The reason that's important is when we look at this, is obviously when we come out of the weather window on construction, we'll be heavy into execution here on the actual project itself again. Clearly, when you look at the back-end-weighted nature of the PCR generation, the execution being more, I'll call it, front-end loaded or, you know, kind of through Q2 and Q3, we have some funding requirements because that revenue will come in after and be collected, you know, more into the new year. We're still looking at is making. We'd have to potentially fund with the change in shape here, potential equity injection of that kind of CAD 150 to 200 that we've talked about.

Speaker #3: Again . And so clearly when you look at the back end weighted nature of , of of the PCR generation , the execution being more , I'll call it front end loaded or , you know , kind of through Q2 and Q3 , we have some funding requirements because that revenue will come in after and be collected .

Speaker #3: You know , more into the new year . And so we're still looking at is is making we'd have to potentially fund with the with the change in shape here potential equity injection to that kind of 150 to 200 that we've talked about .

Jeff Hart: As I said, we're looking for different avenues to maybe fund that within the project with partners and look at different avenues with that. I'd expect an update by mid-year on that, Mark.

Speaker #3: But as I said , we're looking for different avenues to maybe fund that within the project with partners and look at different avenues with that .

Speaker #3: And I'd expect an update by mid-year on that mark

Speaker #5: Okay. So just to get that clear, PCR is kind of more like cash flows that you're just not catching up because there's a bit of a lag in payment versus—

Mark Jarvi: Okay, so just to get that clear, PCR is kind of more like cash flows that you're just not catching up because there's a bit of a lag in payment versus-

Jeff Hart: Yeah.

Speaker #3: Yeah , and I .

Speaker #5: Think the EBITDA. Yeah.

Mark Jarvi: The EBITDA. Yeah.

Speaker #3: 100% . So there's two things . The EBITDA is more back end weighted Number one . Number two , that back end weighted EBITDA there is there's in any business , there's always a lag between revenue generated and cash collection and payment terms .

Jeff Hart: 100%. There's 2 things. The EBITDA is more back-end weighted, number 1. Number 2, that back-end weighted EBITDA, there is, as in any business, there's always a lag between revenue generated and cash collection and payment terms. We have to work through that. Because it's back-end weighted and you've got, you know, you have collection thereafter in normal course, we have execution here before, you know, Q4. There is some construction pieces that we do have to fund, and then we're looking at different avenues in that funding. Is there something we can do at the project level, so we, you know, maybe don't have to equity inject corporately here around midyear? That's one of the big pieces we're working through.

Speaker #3: And so we have to work through that . And so because it's back end weighted and you've got you know you have collection thereafter and normal course we have execution here before you know Q4 .

Speaker #3: And so there is some construction pieces that we do have to fund . And then we're looking at different avenues in that funding .

Speaker #3: Is there something we can do with the project level ? So we , you know , maybe don't have to equity inject corporately here around mid-year .

Speaker #3: And that's one of the big pieces we're working through . But think of it this way back ended earnings and generation . And then you've got time frame on collection .

Jeff Hart: Think of it this way, back-ended earnings, in generation, and then you've got time frame on collection.

Speaker #5: Got it . And then Christine you brought up the North Sea summit . And there's the investment pact that's come out of that outside of Poland .

Mark Jarvi: Got it. Christine, you brought up the North Sea Summit. There's the investment pact that's come out of that. Outside of Poland, are there any other areas you guys are increasingly focused on in Europe and the North Sea? Is there anything in terms of partnerships that are starting to sort of pick up steam?

Speaker #5: Are there any other areas you guys are increasingly focused on in Europe, in the North Sea? Is there anything in terms of partnerships that are starting to sort of pick up steam?

Speaker #2: Thanks for the question, Mark. And I would say, to be clear, Poland is not there in the Baltic, as opposed to the North Sea.

Christine Healy: Thanks for the question, Mark, I would say, to be clear, Poland. They're in the Baltic as opposed to the North Sea.

Speaker #2: So we see both areas as being of interest . You know , Poland continues to be of high interest for us . We're really I mean , we're happy with our partnership with Orlen .

Mark Jarvi: Right.

Christine Healy: We see both areas as being of interest. You know, Poland continues to be of high interest for us. We're really, I mean, we're happy with our partnership with ORLEN. We're happy with the Baltic Power project, we continue to have a high interest in doing more in Poland. In the North Sea, we've been there for quite a long time, I would consider it a very sort of it's a home for Northland in many ways that, you know, with our work that's been ongoing for more than a decade in Germany and the Netherlands, we do have a project in development in the UK.

Speaker #2: We're happy with the Baltic Power Project . And so we continue to have a high interest in doing more in Poland , in the North Sea .

Speaker #2: We've been there for quite a long time . So I would consider it a very sort of it's a home for Northland in many ways that , you know , with our work that's been ongoing for more than a decade in Germany and the Netherlands , we do have a project in we have a project in development in the UK .

Speaker #2: We're having lots of dialogue with other companies and with governments about opportunities , and we see an opportunity rich environment for Northland . But now it's a question of making sure that we're disciplined and we pick only the very best opportunities that we want to deploy our people on .

Christine Healy: We're having lots of dialogue with other companies and with governments about opportunities, and we see an opportunity-rich environment for Northland, but now it's a question of making sure that we're disciplined and we pick only the very best opportunities that we want to deploy our people onto. I would say we're pretty selective, but we see some good opportunities in front of us there.

Speaker #2: So that I would say we're pretty selective , but we see some good opportunities in front of us . There

Speaker #5: And have those the range of opportunities , the quality opportunities , improved or changed in the last couple of months .

Mark Jarvi: Have those, the range of opportunities, the quality opportunities improved or changed in the last couple of months?

Speaker #2: I think we've seen now that some of the recent rate , the recent auctions that have happened , we we see better economics for projects .

Christine Healy: I think we've seen now that some of the recent auctions that have happened, we see better economics for projects. As a result, that makes for a better environment for us. For me, I do think it's a good reflection of capital discipline across the sector, that we need to make sure that the projects that we do in the future deliver the rates of return that are going to lead to success for investors as well as success for the host markets.

Speaker #2: And so as a result , that makes for a better environment for us . For me , I do think it's a good reflection of capital discipline across the sector that we need to make sure that the projects that we do in the future deliver the rates of return that are going to lead to success for investors , as well as success for the host markets .

Speaker #5: Understood . Okay . Thanks for your time this morning .

Mark Jarvi: Understood. Okay, thanks for the time this morning.

Speaker #1: Thank you And our next question comes from Nelson Ng of RBC Capital Markets . Your line is open .

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Nelson Ng of RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Speaker #6: Great . Thanks and good morning , everyone . My first question just relates to the Polish battery storage project . So , so regarding the 17 year capacity contract , roughly how much of your total expected revenue does that cover

Nelson Ng: Great, thanks, and good morning, everyone. My first question just relates to the Polish battery storage project. Regarding the 17-year capacity contract, roughly how much of your total expected revenue does that cover?

Speaker #3: Yeah , no . And I think , you know , we'll provide further details as we go in with the economics here . And when we come to final investment decision or financial close , however you want to word it .

Jeff Hart: Yeah, no, you know, we'll provide further details as we go in with the economics here, when we come to final investment decision or financial close, however you want to word it. What I would say is it's going to be a mix of merchant and capacity. Look, I'm not getting into specific percentage at this point, but it's not going to be disproportionate capacity. It'll be far more balanced and between the merchant exposure and ancillary services and potential capacity payments, which is inflation indexed.

Speaker #3: But what I would say is , is it's it's going to be a mix of merchant and and capacity . And look , I'm not getting into specific percentage at this point , but it's it's not going to be disproportionate capacity .

Speaker #3: It'll be far more balanced . And between the merchant exposure and ancillary services and potential capacity payments , which is inflation indexed . .

Speaker #2: And Nelson , if it's helpful to you , it's a similar model to what we see applied in Oneida .

Christine Healy: Nelson, if it's helpful to you, it's a similar model to what we see applied in Oneida.

Speaker #3: But I would say .

Jeff Hart: What I would say is...

Speaker #2: Is percentages will be slightly different as they are jurisdiction to jurisdiction . But the sort of structure of it is , you know , similar to Oneida .

Christine Healy: Percentages will be slightly different as they are jurisdiction to jurisdiction, but the sort of structure of it is, you know, similar to Oneida.

Speaker #6: Okay . Got it . And then , Jeff , question for you . So for your three European offshore wind projects , you refinanced those refinance the debt or , or reduce the credit spread relatively quickly in terms of like when you're nearing construction completion , I presume discussions have started with Baltic Power and how long with with lenders or can you just comment on whether there's been discussions that have started in terms of whether it's refinancing or or .

Nelson Ng: Okay, got it. Jeff, a question for you.

Jeff Hart: Yeah.

Nelson Ng: For your three European offshore wind projects, you refinance those, refinance the debt or reduce the credit spread relatively quickly in terms of like when you're nearing construction completion. Like I presume discussions have started with Baltic Power and Hai Long with lenders, or can you just comment on whether there's been discussions that have started in terms of whether it's refinancing or, yeah, refinancing or having kind of discussions about the credit spread now that you see construction risk declining? I know you talked about.

Speaker #6: Yeah , refinancing or having discussions about the credit spread . Now that that you see construction risks declining . I know you talked about looking at other options in terms of the capital injection , for how long , but can you just give a bit more color on on the overall process ?

Jeff Hart: Yeah

Nelson Ng: ... at other options in terms of the capital injection for Hai Long, but can you just give a bit more color on the overall process?

Speaker #3: Yeah . No , 100% . So you're right . And typically as we're approaching Cod and you could look maybe to is is when's the right time .

Jeff Hart: Yeah, no, 100%. You're right. Typically, as we're approaching COD, and you could look maybe too, is when is the right time? Is it right at or a little bit after? That's something that's on our mind, and it's on the deliverables for the team to look at how we drive optimization. Number one, with Hai Long, I think there's just some market factors there we see that we could potentially get earlier than COD on some potential mechanisms, but we'll look at that, and I'll provide an update midyear on it. Baltic Power, yeah, we're looking at different options and avenues as we approach COD, but we'll be a little bit flexible on that.

Speaker #3: Is it a right at or a little bit after . But that's something that's on our mind . And it's it's on on the deliverables for the team to look at how we drive optimization .

Speaker #3: So number one with high long I think there's just some market factors there . We see that we could potentially get earlier than than Cod on some potential mechanisms .

Speaker #3: But we'll look at that, and I'll provide an update mid-year on it. And Baltic Power—yeah, we're looking at different options and avenues as we approach COD.

Speaker #3: But we'll be a little bit flexible on that . It'll be , you know , market dependent . And you're right . It will .

Jeff Hart: It'll be, you know, market dependent, and you're right, it will, it will typically coincide as we get to COD, but we may see windows before or a little bit after that, depending on the market. It is something that we are looking at for sure.

Speaker #3: It will typically coincide as we get to Cod . But we may see windows before or a little bit after that depending on the market .

Speaker #3: But it is something that we are—we are looking at, for sure.

Speaker #6: Okay . Got it . And then just one last question . So the Polish battery project that's €200 million , I think that's roughly 320 million Canadian .

Nelson Ng: Okay, got it. There's one last question. The Polish battery project, that's EUR 200 million. I think that's roughly CAD 320 million. If I do the math on Jurassic BESS versus the Polish project, I think Jurassic is about, like, 750,000 per megawatt hour. The Polish project is about 270,000 per megawatt hour, that's, like, over 60% lower cost. Like, obviously, there's scale, and there's probably geography in terms of labor, but can you just talk about the large price, like, cost difference between the Polish project versus the Alberta project?

Speaker #6: But if I do the math on Jurassic best versus the Polish project , I think Jurassic is about like 750,000 per megawatt hour .

Speaker #6: Pull the Polish project is about 270,000 per per megawatt hour . So that's roughly like over 60% lower cost . But like obviously there's scale and there's probably geography in terms of labor .

Speaker #6: But can you just talk about the large price cost difference between the Polish project versus the Alberta project ?

Speaker #2: Thanks , Nelson . I think it's a it's a great question because it really shines a light on what happens when we're early in the curve on a technology .

Christine Healy: Thanks, Nelson. I think it's a great question because it really shines a light on what happens when we're early in the curve on a technology. For grid-scale battery storage, like these BESS projects, we have seen a real shift in battery pricing, which is one of the big deltas on the overall cost of these projects. You're right, that probably that's the biggest moving piece, is the cost of the batteries, which is coming, it continues to come down, and we've seen a drop in that over time. The other piece, though, I would be remiss if I didn't highlight, is the permitting approach. The permitting approach that we see applying in Poland is a quicker process than we see in most jurisdictions in Canada.

Speaker #2: So for grid scale battery storage like these best projects , we have seen a real shift in battery pricing , which is one of the big deltas on how the overall cost of these projects .

Speaker #2: So you're right that probably that's the biggest moving piece is the the cost of the batteries , which is coming , continues to come down .

Speaker #2: And we've seen a drop in that over time . The other piece though , I would be remiss if I didn't highlight , is the permitting approach .

Speaker #2: So the permitting approach that we see applying in in Poland is a quicker process than we see in most jurisdictions in Canada . So when we do our project planning , we build that in based on what the permitting is going to be , jurisdiction to jurisdiction .

Christine Healy: When we do our project planning, we build that in based on what the permitting process is going to be, jurisdiction to jurisdiction. As you've maybe heard me say too many times, the time it takes to get things permitted really matters. Time is money in projects.

Speaker #2: So, as you've maybe heard me say too many times, the time it takes to get things permitted really matters. Time is money and projects.

Speaker #6: Great . Thanks , Christine . I'll leave it there .

Nelson Ng: Great. Thanks, Christine. I'll leave it there.

Speaker #1: Thank you And our next question comes from Sean Stewart of TD Callaghan . Your line is open .

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Sean Steuart of TD Cowen. Your line is open.

Speaker #7: Thanks . Good morning everyone . First question for Jeff . The 2026 free cash flow per share bridge It Baltic and others contributing $0.20 year over year .

Sean Steuart: Thanks. Good morning, everyone. First question for Jeff. The 2026 free cash flow per share bridge shows Baltic and others contributing CAD 0.20 year-over-year. I guess, what is the other component of that? I know Baltic's scheduled for second half COD, but any specifics on the exact contribution start point for Baltic in that number?

Sean Steuart: Thanks. Good morning, everyone. First question for Jeff. The 2026 free cash flow per share bridge shows Baltic and others contributing CAD 0.20 year-over-year. I guess, what is the other component of that? I know Baltic's scheduled for H2 COD, but any specifics on the exact contribution start point for Baltic in that number?

Speaker #7: I guess . What is the other component of that and I know Baltic scheduled for second half cod , but any specifics on the exact contribution start point for for Baltic in that number ?

Speaker #3: Yeah , I know there's not you know , I'd say anything significantly within there and we'll have the team follow up with you on the details on it .

Jeff Hart: Yeah, no, there's not, you know, I'd say anything significantly within there. We'll have the team follow up with you on the details on it, just because there's nothing that I'd say is particularly of interest. I'll have the team follow up with you on them, on that.

Speaker #3: Just because there's nothing that I'd say is a particularly of interest , but I'll have the team follow up with you on them on that Okay .

Sean Steuart: Okay.

Speaker #3: The majority is... Yeah, okay.

Christine Healy: The majority is Baltic.

Jeff Hart: Yeah.

Sean Steuart: Okay, fair enough. Thanks for that. Just a follow-up question on the earlier stage development focus. Christine, you touched on optimism around Baltic expansion. In terms of development dollars you're putting to work in 2026, earlier stage opportunities, can you give us a sense of between Canadian gas or renewables, other projects in Europe, where you see a more clear line of sight on advancing some earlier stage opportunities?

Speaker #7: Fair enough . Thanks for that . And then just follow up question on the earlier stage development focus , Christine , you touched on optimism around Baltic expansion in terms of the development dollars you're putting to work in 2026 .

Speaker #7: Earlier stage opportunities . Can you give us a sense of between Canadian gas or renewables , other projects in Europe where you see a more clear line of sight on on advancing some earlier stage opportunities

Speaker #2: Sure . Thanks for that , Sean . And it's a very timely question because it's something that we have been talking about , you know , sort of almost weekly , I would say , since the start of the year , as we look at the different opportunities .

Christine Healy: Sure. Thanks for that, Sean, it's a very timely question because it's something that we have been talking about, you know, sort of almost weekly, I would say, since the start of the year, as we look at the different opportunities. In terms of chase and looking at new opportunities, you've exactly identified, we see some great opportunities for offshore wind in Europe, we see some great opportunities for gas in Canada. We also have a number of projects that are in the queue that we are that we look at how much do we spend to mature them and at what time frame do we mature those projects.

Speaker #2: So in terms of Chase and looking at new opportunities , I would say we're sort of you've exactly identified we see some great opportunities for offshore wind in Europe , and we see some great opportunities for gas in Canada .

Speaker #2: And then we also have a number of projects that are in the queue that we are—that we look at. How much do we spend to mature them, and at what time frame do we mature those projects?

Speaker #2: And I'll also just add to that , Sean , we also , as we talked about at Investor Day , have some what we call value enhancement projects in the portfolio that have to compete for capital against these external new opportunities .

Christine Healy: I'll also just add to that, Sean, we also, as we talked about at Investor Day, have some what we call value enhancement projects in the portfolio that have to compete for capital against these external new opportunities. We have our existing opportunities in the funnel that we also want to mature. All those things go into the mix. That's the entire concept about having a centralized development organization. Right now, I think we see that the development dollars, I'd say, would be the biggest chunks of them are oriented towards offshore, finding the right next offshore wind project in Europe and finding or choosing the best next gas opportunity in Canada.

Speaker #2: And we have our existing opportunities in the funnel that we also want to mature . So all those things go into the mix .

Speaker #2: That's the that's the entire concept about having a centralized development organization . So right now I think we see that the development dollars I'd say would be the biggest chunks of them are oriented towards offshore .

Speaker #2: Finding the right next offshore wind project in Europe . And finding or choosing the best next gas opportunity in Canada

Speaker #7: Thanks for that , Christine . That's all I have for right now . Thank you .

Sean Steuart: Thanks for that, Christine. That's all I have for right now. Thank you.

Speaker #1: Thank you And our next question comes from Benjamin Pham of BMO . Your line is open

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Benjamin Pham of BMO. Your line is open.

Speaker #8: Hi . Thanks . I just wanted to go go to your your 6% free cash flow per share guidance throughout the decade that you have arranged , you put there .

Nelson Ng: Hi, thanks. I just wanted to go to your 6% free cash flow per share CAGR guidance throughout a decade, that you have a range that you put out there. How should you reframe the starting point of that calculation? Because it's a bit wonky using a $1.45, also a bit wonky using a $1.15 as a base. Like, how do you frame that now?

Benjamin Pham: Hi, thanks. I just wanted to go to your 6% free cash flow per share CAGR guidance throughout a decade, that you have a range that you put out there. How should you reframe the starting point of that calculation? Because it's a bit wonky using a $1.45, also a bit wonky using a $1.15 as a base. Like, how do you frame that now?

Speaker #8: How should you or reframe the starting point of that calculation ? Because it's a bit wonky using a dollar 45 . Also a bit wonky using the 15 as a base .

Speaker #8: Like how do you how do you frame that now

Speaker #3: Well , and I think it it thanks for the question . I think , you know , you stand back as , as we we we obviously exceeded our free cash flow guidance in 2025 .

Jeff Hart: Well, I think. Thanks for the question. I think, you know, you stand back as we obviously exceeded our free cash flow guidance in 2025, and you start to stand back and obviously there was a bunch of one-time items in there, I think to the tune of, you know, I'll call it $0.20 to $0.25, whether it was, we had that German tax benefit and a few other items. I think that's something that factors in, and it's also on my mind too, is how do we continually get better on making sure we call out, you know, one-time items, and we can kind of clarify this for folks.

Speaker #3: And you start to stand back and and obviously there was a bunch of one time items in there , I think to the tune of , you know , I'll call it 20 to $0.25 .

Speaker #3: Whether it was we had that German tax benefit and a few other items . And so I think that's something that factors in .

Speaker #3: And it's also on my mind too , is , is how do we continually get better on making sure we call out , you know , one time items and we can kind of clarify this for , for folks .

Speaker #3: But I think that’s a critical piece for us, because if you take all those one-time items, they’re about $0.20 a share.

Jeff Hart: I think that's a critical piece for us, because though you take all those one-time items, they're about $0.20 a share, and that makes a substantive difference to the ongoing run rate of the business.

Speaker #3: And that makes a substantive difference to the ongoing run rate of the business .

Speaker #8: Okay . You use a dollar 45 less , let's say $0.25 . Use that as a starting point . You get you get to that 6% .

Benjamin Pham: Okay, you'd use $1.45 less, let's say $0.25. Use that as a starting point. You get to 6% you've highlighted previously.

Speaker #8: You've highlighted previously

Speaker #3: Yeah . And I don't have the numbers here in front of me . Right . But I mean , I think you look at it and you say , okay , well what happened in the back end quarter ?

Jeff Hart: Yeah, and like, I don't have the numbers here in front of me, right? I mean, I think you look at it and you say, Okay, well, what happened in the back end quarter? Clearly, we had higher wind, and that was, you know, put us over guidance. If you look at the full year, that CAD 0.20 to 0.25 was one of the big factors in driving us to the CAD 1.46. I don't have the CAGR in front of me, but that's something that we have to make sure that we're clear on, is these one-time items or kind of non-recurrent items have to factor in. That you have to take that away, right?

Speaker #3: Clearly we had higher wind and that was that was , you know , put us over guidance . But if you look at the full year , that 20 to $0.25 was was what one of the big factors in driving us to the buck 46 .

Speaker #3: And so I don't have the car in front of me , but that's something that we have to make sure that we're clear on .

Speaker #3: Is , is these one time items or kind of non-recurring items have to factor in . And so that that you have to take that away .

Speaker #3: Right ?

Speaker #8: Okay . I understand and maybe switching to the early comments on the super cycle and , and volume demand being quite robust in all your key markets , do you think you're your position ?

Benjamin Pham: Okay, I understand. Maybe switching to the early comments on the super cycle and volume demand being quite robust in all your key markets, do you think your position, I mean, you clear your position well and where you are now, but do you think you need to go elsewhere to position better or differently to benefit from this super cycle going forward?

Speaker #8: I mean , you're clear position . Well , and where you are now . But do you do you think you need to go elsewhere to position better or differently to benefit from this super cycle going forward ?

Speaker #2: So, thanks for the question. We had a really deep dive on this as we were preparing for our strategy for the upcoming five years, and we see that we have opportunity.

Christine Healy: Thanks for the question. We had a really deep dive on this as we were preparing for our strategy for the upcoming five years, and we see that we have opportunity. It's an opportunity-rich environment for us in Canada and in Europe. These are both, you know, very large markets. You know, so I think we have ample space for us as a company to fill in and to, you know, to deliver on what we've committed for the five-year horizon in those markets. We're very focused on deepening where we are, instead of spreading out into new locations.

Speaker #2: It's an opportunity rich environment for us in Canada and in Europe . And these are both , you know , very large markets .

Speaker #2: You know , so I think we have ample space for us as a company to , to fill in and to , you know , to deliver on what we've committed for the five year horizon in those markets .

Speaker #2: So we're very focused on deepening where we are instead of spreading out into new locations .

Speaker #8: Okay . Got it . Thank .

Benjamin Pham: Okay, got it. Thank you.

Speaker #1: Thank you And our next question comes from Heidi . House of BNP Paribas . Your line is open .

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Heidi Hauch of BNP Paribas. Your line is open.

Speaker #9: Hi . Good morning . Thank you for taking my questions . I just wanted to start with in your annual report , it had mentioned Deprioritizing , the the floating portion of the ScotWind offshore wind project .

Heidi Hauch: Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. I just wanted to start with, in your annual report, it had mentioned deprioritizing the floating portion of the ScotWind offshore wind project. Can you talk about what drove that decision and what that might mean for the types of projects or technologies you're more likely to pursue within the growth pipeline? Thank you.

Speaker #9: So can you talk about what drove that decision and what that might mean for the types of projects or technologies you're more likely to pursue within the growth pipeline ?

Speaker #9: Thank you .

Speaker #2: Super . Thanks for the question , Heidi . I appreciate it . So because we see so many fixed bottom opportunities for offshore wind , then we really had to look at do we need to move to floating right now .

Christine Healy: Super. Thanks for the question, Heidi. I appreciate it. Because we see so many fixed bottom opportunities for offshore wind, then we really had to look at, do we need to move to floating right now? I think the answer that we came to, as we looked at the opportunity set, is that we don't need to. Right now we think that there are good existing technologies for offshore wind. I think that we're differentiated in our ability to deliver that and to deliver those projects well. Maybe back to the previous question about deepening in geographies, it's also deepening in the things that we know. We're very good at that. We're gonna keep doing that. We see an opportunity-rich environment for us right now.

Speaker #2: And I think the answer that we came to is we looked at the opportunity set is that we don't need to . And right now we think that there are good existing technologies for offshore wind .

Speaker #2: I think that we're differentiated in our ability to deliver that and to deliver those projects well . And so maybe back to the previous question about deepening and geographies .

Speaker #2: It's also deepening in the things that we know . So we're very good at that . And so we're going to keep doing that .

Speaker #2: And we see an opportunity rich environment for us right now . So yes , you're exactly right that we're deprioritizing the floating and we're more focused on the fixed bottom offshore wind

Christine Healy: Yes, you're exactly right, that we're deprioritizing the floating, and we're more focused on the fixed bottom offshore wind.

Speaker #9: Great . Thank you . And then can you update us on the potential to contract the remaining portion of of Nord C1 ? We saw that positive update on contracting one third .

Heidi Hauch: Great, thank you. Can you update us on the potential to contract the remaining portion of Nordsee One? We saw that positive update on contracting one third, but are you still kind of in conversations to contract the remaining part? Thank you.

Speaker #9: But are you still kind of in conversations to contract the remaining part ? Thank you .

Speaker #2: Thanks , Heidi . We keep a careful eye on that . So the one third contracting leaves us . We're happy with that .

Christine Healy: Thanks, Heidi. We keep a careful eye on that. The one-third contracting leaves us. We're happy with that in terms of having a stable cash flow from the asset as we look across the upcoming five, six years. That's very helpful. We see, you know, as you probably know, the spot price has been actually pretty robust recently. When we see that robust spot price, you know, how much of that are we willing to contract away in favor of stability? Right now, the one-third, two-third split is okay for us. We continue to watch the market and look for different opportunities. It gives us, in fact, optionality on that, which I really value in the portfolio.

Speaker #2: In terms of having a stable cash flow from the asset . As we look across the upcoming five , six years . So that's that's very helpful .

Speaker #2: And then we see , you know , as you probably know the the spot price has been actually pretty robust recently . So when we see that robust spot price , you know how much how are we willing to contract away in order in favor of stability .

Speaker #2: So right now the one third , two third split is is okay for us . We continue to watch the market and look for different opportunities .

Speaker #2: And so then it gives us in fact , optionality on that which I really value in the portfolio , especially when you look at the new highly contracted generation coming in .

Christine Healy: Especially when you look at the new, highly contracted generation coming in, it gives us a bit more room that we're not exposed to a huge amount of variability with that, and we can absorb that within the portfolio approach.

Speaker #2: It gives us a bit more room that we're not exposed to a huge amount of variability with that , and we can absorb that within the portfolio approach

Speaker #1: Thank you . I'm showing no further questions at this time . I'd like to turn it back to Christine Healy for closing remarks

Operator: Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn it back to Christine Healy for closing remarks.

Speaker #2: I'll be brief and just say thank you , everyone for joining us today . And thank you for your continued support .

Christine Healy: I'll be brief and just say thank you everyone for joining us today, and thank you for your continued support.

Operator: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.

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